Electric car glut threatens world trade
China accused of dumping as prices plummet
China’s success as the biggest producer of cars – mainly electric cars – the world has ever seen, has led to a problem of massive over capacity. There are not enough adults in the world, with driving skills, to drive all the cars produced every year.
Admittedly many of the latest vehicles are self-driving, but at the budget end of the scale, devoid of radar and software, basic cars are just dumb machines, even if they run on batteries rather than gasoline.
The shift to autonomous cars has also reduced demand. Who needs a car when you can hail a ride with the click of a button? On the other hand, owning a car is still a status symbol for many people entering the middle class in developing economies, which fueled production of cheap cars, until capacity exceeded the market’s – and city streets’ – ability to absorb new units.
Now millions of new cars stand gathering dust as buyers evaporate. Having more than one car per family these days is not a luxury – it’s just a waste, and an inconvenience.
Many cities have banned private cars, even electric ones. There are better uses for city spaces than parking lots. With urban mobility reduced to an app, there’s no justification for clogging up streets and buildings with largely idle, parked cars.
“I remember when Hurricane Harvey destroyed a million cars in Houston,” reminisces Texan auto dealer ‘Honest Jake’ Jackson. “Those were good times!”
But now no-one wants a good-as-new pre-owned vehicle, or even a brand new one. Especially if it’s made in China. It’s not fair; they’re virtually giving them away!
Links to related stories
- China Fossil Fuel Deadline Shifts Focus to Electric Car Race - Reuters, 10 September 2017
- MindBullet: ELECTRIC CARS CAN'T STEER THE CLIMATE (Dateline: 2 June 2030, Published: 01 June 2017)
- MindBullet: MOBILITY AS A SERVICE (Dateline: 17 August 2019, Published: 16 June 2016)
- MindBullet: THE LAST VW ROLLS OFF THE WOLFSBURG PRODUCTION LINE (Dateline: 19 December 2011, Published: 06 October 2005)
Warning: Hazardous thinking at work
Despite appearances to the contrary, Futureworld cannot and does not predict the future. Our Mindbullets scenarios are fictitious and designed purely to explore possible futures, challenge and stimulate strategic thinking. Use these at your own risk. Any reference to actual people, entities or events is entirely allegorical. Copyright Futureworld International Limited. Reproduction or distribution permitted only with recognition of Copyright and the inclusion of this disclaimer.